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Review and Prospect of the international non-ferrous metals market

As exports strong, stainless steel production in Japan in Q2 rose sharply split 16 The World Right Ang Rui i996 base color first 2j} jl4. Estimated full-year 1994, the Western world than stainless restrain demand growth of 8 in 1993, is expected to grow further in 1995 to 7%. Especially in recent years become increasingly international market of stainless steel supply shortage, prices continued to rise, even the production plant: Business income of nickel surcharges, further stimulating consumption of nickel. The production in 1993 fell 2.6% to 565,000 t, based on, with countries such as Canada and New Caledonia producers to increase production, estimated annual production of only a slight increase in 1994 2. 6% to 58 million t, 1995 years will further increase to 635,000 t. In addition, the estimated 1994 out of Eastern countries to Western markets. Nickel from the mouth of the 115 000 t in 1993 increased to l2 million t, but the forecast decline in l995 to 90,000 in the t. Estimated production capacity of nickel in 1993, the CIS 18 million t, 1994, down to l5 million t, predicted a further decline in 1995 to 135,000 t. Comparison. 19 & 9 years ago, the Soviet Union nickel consumption has almost 12 million t, but then dropped to only 4 to 5 million t. The continuous decline in production of the CIS as well as domestic consumption is estimated to have dropped to the bottom, and then the next volume of nickel exports can not be dropped. Given the above,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the estimated supply and demand of nickel from the Western world in 1993, 1.3 million t of surplus into deficit in 1994, 1.5 million t, 1'995 further increase in the amount of 3.2 trillion shortfall t. With the changes in market supply and demand, the future of Western Nickel inventories will drop. Rhyme in the case of continued growth in demand, prices of nickel in 1994, the good momentum of steady recovery, to 12 mid-January, prices have risen to $ 8,725 per ton. Beginning of the year rose to 68.1. And the average price of nickel also fell to 24.5 in 1993, fell sharply after the $ 5,280 per tonne,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], January 1994, while Volume Pu u rebounded l6.7, choose $ 6,147 per ton. It is predicted that nickel prices in 1995 further rose to about $ 8,000 per tonne, the average price will reach $ 7,500. The international price of tin after tin market continued weakness in 1995, fell after the firm turned in 1994. 1-10 months remain at roughly $ 5,500 per ton between 5000 ---- into l1 rose significantly to $ 6,000 in January,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], beginning of the year rose 25% o price increases were mainly due to increased demand and the International Tin organizations, especially Brazil and China strictly control the production and sale. To make the world surplus tin stocks rose in Q2 7000t, the first three quarters rose by only 1345t. Now largely stable at about 40,000 t level. The increase in demand from the United States and Britain, increased consumption of tinplate, and the Far East, the amount of flux and the steady increase in the electronics industry. Looking to the future market is estimated that from 1993 to 1997, tin consumption will increase 1.57 / t. Once the development of new uses for a larger tin progress, then the more optimistic prospects for tin consumption. Tin-producing countries such as the recent Association (ATPC) member states of tin in the United Kingdom established research and development organizations - the International Tin Research Institute (ITRI) in the next 3 years research and development of new uses for tin, and can increase the annual consumption of 2 ~ 30000 t. The total production of refined tin is estimated to 19.97 years in 1993, an increase than the 1.1 million t, to l5.2 million t. In the Western world, the shortfall between supply and demand is expected to increase from 30,000 t in 1993 to 34,000 in 1997 t. And is expected from 1995 - 1997 the total supply and demand in the Western world during the election 2.1 million shortfall in the amount of t,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], which will result in inventory decreased from 54,000 t to 33,000 t, equivalent to 9.3 weeks the amount of clearing fees. The 1995 development trend of the international tin market, is expected to continue with the development of world economy and increased demand, especially tin producing countries decided to 9th 1996 will continue to implement the system of export with Yen, it may stimulate further pick-up tin price . In 1995 members of the Association than the total export quota of 98,000 t in 1994 decreased by 7.55%, to 90,600 t. London Metal Exchange in 1995, the average price of tin in Europe 15.7%, to $ 5,147 per ton in 1994, 1-11 months, rose to $ 5,419,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], or 5.3%. In 1995 the average price is expected to rise to $ 5,599 will continue, but more optimistic estimate, will reach $ 6,600. 1997 is expected to rise further to $ 9,984. (Hai-win),

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